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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 6

Hannover 96

HAN

Bochum

BOC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Hannover 9648%
Draw27%
Bochum25%

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.08

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

55%Possession55%
40%Territory37%
25%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hannover 96, 3 for Bochum. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.