2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
Greuther Fürth
GRE
Magdeburg
MAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Greuther Fürth38%
Draw27%
Magdeburg36%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.43
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–18.4%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Magdeburg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
55%Possession52%
40%Territory36%
10%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.7%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Greuther Fürth, 3 for Magdeburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.