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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 24

Borussia Mönchengladbach

BMG

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

M'gladbach33%
Draw27%
VfB Stuttgart41%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.52

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.

40%Possession58%
26%Territory45%
21%From set plays31%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.