Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Hamburger SV
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
VfB Stuttgart61%
Draw23%
Hamburger SV17%
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.94
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.6%
- 2–010.5%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Hamburger SV will not mind.
58%Possession40%
45%Territory32%
31%From set plays46%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3 for Hamburger SV. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.