Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
Hoffenheim
HOF
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim56%
Draw25%
M'gladbach19%
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.93
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–010.2%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hoffenheim will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
51%Possession40%
44%Territory26%
11%From set plays21%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hoffenheim, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.