Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
1. FC Köln
FCK
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln39%
Draw31%
Frankfurt31%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.05
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.8%
- 0–011.8%
- 0–110.9%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
56%Possession50%
42%Territory37%
37%From set plays17%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Köln
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Frankfurt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.