Bundesliga · Matchweek 23
Augsburg
AUG
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Augsburg55%
Draw22%
Elversberg23%
Expected goals
2.05 – 1.31
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–19.5%
- 1–07.7%
- 2–07.3%
- 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Augsburg will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
59%Possession46%
45%Territory27%
31%From set plays25%
0.10Chance quality0.14
3.9%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Augsburg, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Augsburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.