Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
Schalke 04
SCH
Freiburg
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0424%
Draw30%
Freiburg46%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.35
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
46%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.2%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–011.6%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–28.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Schalke 04 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession48%
37%Territory34%
60%From set plays32%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Freiburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Schalke 04
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.