Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
Hamburger SV
HAM
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hamburger SV22%
Draw27%
Hoffenheim51%
Expected goals
0.92 – 1.52
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.7%
- 1–112.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 0–29.7%
- 1–29.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hoffenheim will have the ball; Hamburger SV will not mind.
40%Possession51%
32%Territory44%
46%From set plays11%
0.08Chance quality0.12
7.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hamburger SV, 3 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Hoffenheim
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.