Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 22

Elversberg

ELV

Union Berlin

UNI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elversberg41%
Draw28%
Union Berlin30%

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.17

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 0–19.1%
  • 0–08.8%
  • 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Elversberg will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.

46%Possession36%
27%Territory33%
25%From set plays48%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.3%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for Union Berlin. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.