Bundesliga · Matchweek 22
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
1. FC Köln
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach37%
Draw31%
Köln32%
Expected goals
1.17 – 1.09
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–011.9%
- 0–111.4%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
40%Possession56%
26%Territory42%
21%From set plays37%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.7%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Köln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Köln
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.