Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
1. FC Köln
FCK
Hamburger SV
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln50%
Draw29%
Hamburger SV21%
Expected goals
1.38 – 0.82
Over 2.5
38%
Both to score
43%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.7%
- 1–112.5%
- 0–012.2%
- 2–010.1%
- 2–18.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln will have the ball; Hamburger SV will not mind.
56%Possession40%
42%Territory32%
37%From set plays46%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for Hamburger SV. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.