Bundesliga · Matchweek 21
Elversberg
ELV
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elversberg51%
Draw26%
Schalke 0423%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.02
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Schalke 04 get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession42%
27%Territory37%
25%From set plays60%
0.14Chance quality0.07
5.3%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Elversberg
Schalke 04
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.