Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Schalke 04
SCH
Union Berlin
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0431%
Draw33%
Union Berlin37%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.07
Over 2.5
33%
Both to score
42%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–014.9%
- 0–114.1%
- 1–113.6%
- 1–012.5%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession36%
37%Territory33%
60%From set plays48%
0.07Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Union Berlin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Schalke 04
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.