Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Bayern München
BAY
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München83%
Draw11%
Elversberg6%
Expected goals
3.11 – 0.81
Over 2.5
74%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 3–010.0%
- 2–09.9%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 4–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
58%Possession46%
43%Territory27%
16%From set plays25%
0.16Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.