Bundesliga · Matchweek 20
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Augsburg
AUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen47%
Draw24%
Augsburg29%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.43
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession59%
41%Territory45%
21%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leverkusen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.