Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Union Berlin
UNI
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union Berlin31%
Draw29%
Leverkusen41%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.36
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–09.4%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–28.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.
36%Possession57%
33%Territory41%
48%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Union Berlin, 3 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leverkusen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.