Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
1. FC Köln
FCK
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln38%
Draw26%
VfB Stuttgart37%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.55
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Köln will not mind.
43%Possession52%
37%Territory42%
40%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.