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Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Elversberg

ELV

Borussia Mönchengladbach

BMG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Elversberg44%
Draw27%
M'gladbach29%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.21

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1010.4%
  • 219.0%
  • 018.2%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

M'gladbach will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.

37%Possession48%
24%Territory37%
3%From set plays40%
0.16Chance quality0.07
4.0%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

M'gladbach

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.