Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Elversberg
ELV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elversberg37%
Draw27%
M'gladbach35%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.39
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–08.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession40%
27%Territory26%
25%From set plays21%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Elversberg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.