Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Bayern München
BAY
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München81%
Draw13%
Schalke 047%
Expected goals
2.84 – 0.77
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-2.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.3%
- 3–010.3%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
71%Possession34%
59%Territory28%
14%From set plays25%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.