Bundesliga · Matchweek 19
Bayern München
BAY
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bayern München84%
Draw11%
Schalke 044%
Expected goals
2.83 – 0.56
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
40%
Fair handicap
-2.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.8%
- 3–012.7%
- 1–010.0%
- 4–08.8%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
58%Possession42%
43%Territory37%
16%From set plays60%
0.16Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bayern München, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Schalke 04
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.