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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Augsburg

AUG

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Augsburg42%
Draw26%
Frankfurt31%

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.31

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Augsburg will have the ball; Frankfurt will not mind.

59%Possession50%
45%Territory37%
31%From set plays17%
0.10Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Augsburg, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.