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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 19

Augsburg

AUG

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Augsburg39%
Draw27%
Frankfurt35%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.39

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Frankfurt will have the ball; Augsburg will not mind.

42%Possession52%
32%Territory41%
16%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Augsburg, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.