Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Schalke 04
SCH
Augsburg
AUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Schalke 0437%
Draw27%
Augsburg36%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.40
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
34%Possession42%
28%Territory32%
25%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.