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Bundesliga · Matchweek 18

Schalke 04

SCH

Augsburg

AUG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Schalke 0425%
Draw27%
Augsburg48%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.56

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.4%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Augsburg will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

42%Possession59%
37%Territory45%
60%From set plays31%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.