Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Hoffenheim
HOF
1. FC Köln
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim51%
Draw28%
Köln22%
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.90
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–09.8%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession56%
44%Territory42%
11%From set plays37%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hoffenheim, 3 for Köln. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
Köln
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.