Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Union Berlin
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt49%
Draw29%
Union Berlin23%
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.89
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.7%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–011.4%
- 2–09.4%
- 2–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frankfurt will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.
50%Possession36%
37%Territory33%
17%From set plays48%
0.12Chance quality0.13
5.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Union Berlin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frankfurt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.