Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Union Berlin
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt50%
Draw26%
Union Berlin24%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.10
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union Berlin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession50%
41%Territory34%
27%From set plays70%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Union Berlin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.