Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach21%
Draw25%
RB Leipzig54%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.74
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.4%
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.2%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
48%Possession61%
37%Territory51%
40%From set plays31%
0.07Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.