Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach25%
Draw26%
RB Leipzig50%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.68
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–28.0%
- 1–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
40%Possession51%
26%Territory31%
21%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.17
4.7%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.