Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen57%
Draw22%
Elversberg21%
Expected goals
2.06 – 1.23
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–07.9%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
57%Possession46%
41%Territory27%
21%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.14
5.4%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Leverkusen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.