Bundesliga · Matchweek 18
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen67%
Draw20%
Elversberg14%
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.94
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.6%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–18.9%
- 3–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
65%Possession37%
51%Territory24%
35%From set plays3%
0.11Chance quality0.16
3.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.