Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Hamburger SV
HAM
Augsburg
AUG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hamburger SV30%
Draw27%
Augsburg43%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.49
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Augsburg will have the ball; Hamburger SV will not mind.
40%Possession59%
32%Territory45%
46%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.5%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hamburger SV, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.