Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt17%
Draw22%
Bayern München61%
Expected goals
0.97 – 1.97
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.0%
- 0–210.2%
- 1–110.1%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–36.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Frankfurt will not mind.
50%Possession58%
37%Territory43%
17%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.16
5.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Frankfurt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.