Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Frankfurt17%
Draw21%
Bayern München62%
Expected goals
1.08 – 2.12
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 0–29.2%
- 1–37.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Frankfurt will not mind.
52%Possession71%
41%Territory59%
27%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.14
5.2%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.