Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Union Berlin
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach38%
Draw29%
Union Berlin33%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.20
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 1–010.9%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.4%
- 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Union Berlin get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession50%
37%Territory34%
40%From set plays70%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Union Berlin. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.