Bundesliga · Matchweek 17
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen66%
Draw20%
Schalke 0414%
Expected goals
2.14 – 0.89
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.1%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
65%Possession34%
51%Territory28%
35%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.13
3.7%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.