Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
RB Leipzig
RBL
VfB Stuttgart
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
RB Leipzig54%
Draw23%
VfB Stuttgart23%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.25
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 2–07.7%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; VfB Stuttgart will not mind.
61%Possession52%
51%Territory42%
31%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.12
3.7%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for RB Leipzig, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.