Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Elversberg
ELV
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elversberg34%
Draw27%
Frankfurt40%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.52
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–07.9%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Frankfurt will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
37%Possession52%
24%Territory41%
3%From set plays27%
0.16Chance quality0.14
4.0%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.