Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Elversberg
ELV
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elversberg33%
Draw27%
Frankfurt40%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.49
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.7%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession50%
27%Territory37%
25%From set plays17%
0.14Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Elversberg
Frankfurt
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.