Bundesliga · Matchweek 16
Augsburg
AUG
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Augsburg49%
Draw26%
M'gladbach25%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.11
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
M'gladbach get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession48%
32%Territory37%
16%From set plays40%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.5%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Augsburg, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Augsburg
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.