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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Augsburg

AUG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

VfB Stuttgart52%
Draw24%
Augsburg25%

Expected goals

1.89 – 1.29

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.5%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Augsburg will not mind.

52%Possession42%
42%Territory32%
27%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.2%Directness5.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for VfB Stuttgart, 3 for Augsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.