Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Paderborn
PAD
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paderborn20%
Draw25%
RB Leipzig55%
Expected goals
0.96 – 1.69
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.5%
- 1–111.5%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Paderborn will not mind.
51%Possession61%
30%Territory51%
18%From set plays31%
0.06Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paderborn, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paderborn
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.