Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Hoffenheim
HOF
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim57%
Draw23%
Elversberg20%
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.13
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–08.7%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hoffenheim will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
54%Possession37%
45%Territory24%
25%From set plays3%
0.12Chance quality0.16
5.3%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hoffenheim, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.