Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Hamburger SV
HAM
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hamburger SV28%
Draw27%
Leverkusen45%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.50
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Hamburger SV will not mind.
40%Possession57%
32%Territory41%
46%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.09
7.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hamburger SV, 3 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.