Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
1. FC Köln
FCK
Freiburg
FRE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln39%
Draw31%
Freiburg30%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.05
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–012.9%
- 0–011.8%
- 0–110.8%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Köln will have the ball; Freiburg will not mind.
56%Possession48%
42%Territory34%
37%From set plays32%
0.09Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for Freiburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Köln
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.