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Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Schalke 04

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frankfurt58%
Draw26%
Schalke 0417%

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.77

Over 2.5

42%

Both to score

44%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.4%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–010.1%
  • 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Frankfurt will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

50%Possession42%
37%Territory37%
17%From set plays60%
0.12Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Schalke 04

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.