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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 15

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Schalke 04

SCH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Frankfurt52%
Draw25%
Schalke 0423%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.10

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Frankfurt will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

52%Possession34%
41%Territory28%
27%From set plays25%
0.14Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Frankfurt, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.