Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach14%
Draw20%
Bayern München66%
Expected goals
0.91 – 2.11
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.9%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–37.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
40%Possession58%
26%Territory43%
21%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.16
4.7%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.