Bundesliga · Matchweek 15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach11%
Draw18%
Bayern München70%
Expected goals
0.86 – 2.31
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.4%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–38.3%
- 1–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.
48%Possession71%
37%Territory59%
40%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.