Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Union Berlin
UNI
Hoffenheim
HOF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Union Berlin24%
Draw29%
Hoffenheim47%
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.38
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–114.0%
- 1–112.8%
- 0–011.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–28.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hoffenheim will have the ball; Union Berlin will not mind.
36%Possession51%
33%Territory44%
48%From set plays11%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Union Berlin, 3 for Hoffenheim. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.