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Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Schalke 04

SCH

Borussia Mönchengladbach

BMG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Schalke 0443%
Draw28%
M'gladbach30%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.17

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 1011.1%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.8%
  • 008.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

M'gladbach will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.

34%Possession48%
28%Territory37%
25%From set plays40%
0.13Chance quality0.07
4.8%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Schalke 04, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

M'gladbach

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.