Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Bundesliga · Matchweek 14

Freiburg

FRE

VfB Stuttgart

STU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Freiburg37%
Draw27%
VfB Stuttgart36%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.42

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–08.6%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 2–18.3%
  • 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

VfB Stuttgart will have the ball; Freiburg will not mind.

48%Possession58%
34%Territory45%
32%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.12
3.5%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Freiburg, 3 for VfB Stuttgart. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.