Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Elversberg
ELV
Hamburger SV
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elversberg45%
Draw27%
Hamburger SV28%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.16
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hamburger SV get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
46%Possession40%
27%Territory32%
25%From set plays46%
0.14Chance quality0.08
5.3%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for Hamburger SV. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Elversberg
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.