Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Elversberg
ELV
Hamburger SV
HAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Elversberg47%
Draw27%
Hamburger SV26%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.09
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–011.6%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–08.2%
- 2–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hamburger SV will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
37%Possession45%
24%Territory33%
3%From set plays20%
0.16Chance quality0.08
4.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Elversberg, 3 for Hamburger SV. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.