Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leverkusen57%
Draw23%
Frankfurt20%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.06
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Leverkusen will have the ball; Frankfurt will not mind.
65%Possession52%
51%Territory41%
35%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.14
3.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leverkusen, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.