Bundesliga · Matchweek 14
Augsburg
AUG
Paderborn
PAD
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Augsburg50%
Draw27%
Paderborn24%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.03
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.2%
- 1–112.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Paderborn will have the ball; Augsburg will not mind.
42%Possession51%
32%Territory30%
16%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.06
5.5%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Augsburg, 3 for Paderborn. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Augsburg
Paderborn
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.