Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Paderborn
PAD
Elversberg
ELV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paderborn38%
Draw29%
Elversberg33%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.22
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–09.0%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Paderborn will have the ball; Elversberg will not mind.
51%Possession37%
30%Territory24%
18%From set plays3%
0.06Chance quality0.16
5.4%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paderborn, 3 for Elversberg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paderborn
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.