Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Hoffenheim
HOF
Bayern München
BAY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim20%
Draw22%
Bayern München58%
Expected goals
1.16 – 2.06
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–28.5%
- 1–36.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Bayern München will have the ball; Hoffenheim will not mind.
54%Possession71%
45%Territory59%
25%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.14
5.3%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hoffenheim, 3 for Bayern München. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.