Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
1. FC Köln
FCK
RB Leipzig
RBL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Köln28%
Draw26%
RB Leipzig46%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.67
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 0–27.0%
- 2–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
RB Leipzig will have the ball; Köln will not mind.
43%Possession61%
37%Territory51%
40%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.0%Directness3.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Köln, 3 for RB Leipzig. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.