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Bundesliga · Matchweek 13

Borussia Mönchengladbach

BMG

Eintracht Frankfurt

SGE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

M'gladbach36%
Draw29%
Frankfurt34%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.20

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 0–110.5%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Frankfurt will have the ball; M'gladbach will not mind.

40%Possession50%
26%Territory37%
21%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.