Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Eintracht Frankfurt
SGE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
M'gladbach32%
Draw28%
Frankfurt41%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.42
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–08.9%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession52%
37%Territory41%
40%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.14
5.7%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for M'gladbach, 3 for Frankfurt. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
M'gladbach
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.